Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.103959e-06 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.457040e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.927168e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.495738e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013 0.000018
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.134520e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000015 0.000021
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.862902e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000025
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.625820e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000030
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.345257e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000020 0.000034
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.140726e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000021 0.000039
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.953739e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000043
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.820431e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000025 0.000050
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.745298e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000028 0.000060
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.602738e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000030 0.000068
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.492626e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032 0.000078
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.387864e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000035 0.000089
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.296256e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000037 0.000102
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.214468e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000040 0.000116
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.152681e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000044 0.000135
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.095188e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000048 0.000156
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.014377e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000049 0.000170
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 9.550467e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000008 0.000019 0.000052 0.000191
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 8.970650e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000019 0.000054 0.000211
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 8.563465e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000008 0.000019 0.000059 0.000242